{"id":900,"date":"2014-08-04T09:38:51","date_gmt":"2014-08-04T14:38:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/?p=900"},"modified":"2014-08-04T09:39:55","modified_gmt":"2014-08-04T14:39:55","slug":"its-not-rocket-science","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/2014\/08\/04\/its-not-rocket-science\/","title":{"rendered":"It&#8217;s not rocket science"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>You may have heard about these NASA engineers who claim to have <a href=\"http:\/\/ntrs.nasa.gov\/archive\/nasa\/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov\/20140006052.pdf\">demonstrated<\/a> a reactionless drive mechanism &#8212; that is, something that can generate thrust without shooting anything out the back end. Such a device would violate one of the most well-established laws of physics, namely conservation of momentum. It would be an incredibly big deal if true.<\/p>\n<p>Of course it&#8217;s not true, for all the usual reasons: Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/2010\/01\/12\/never-believe-an-experiment-until-it-has-been-confirmed-by-a-theory\/\">never believe an experiment until it&#8217;s been confirmed by a theory<\/a>, etc.<\/p>\n<p>You can be confident that this result is wrong by using reasoning, or, <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/2014\/02\/18\/nature-on-p-values\/\">as some people like to call it<\/a>, Bayesian reasoning. To be specific, the new experimental result causes you to update your prior beliefs. Your prior belief was, or at least should have been, that there&#8217;s an incredibly high probability that momentum is conserved, particularly in situations like this one that are described by <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/2008\/11\/22\/thomas-bayes-says-that-i-shouldnt-believe-in-hydrinos\/\">the best-tested theory in the history of science<\/a>. When your prior is extremely strong (in this case because of centuries&#8217; worth of experimental confirmation), even a very well-done experiment is not enough to dislodge it.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/blogs\/bad_astronomy\/2014\/08\/04\/reactionless_motor_needs_more_evidence.html\">Phil Plait&#8217;s post<\/a> is a reasonable place to go for more details, although he&#8217;s much too kind at a couple of points:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019m not saying it\u2019s wrong, but I <em>am<\/em> saying it\u2019s very, very likely to be some sort of measurement or experimental error.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This is bizarrely wishy-washy. I, for one, am saying it&#8217;s wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Plait also says<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The only other way this device could possibly work is if it&#8217;s interacting with &#8220;virtual particles&#8221;, an interesting idea, but a highly speculative one.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Again, this is far too kind. To say that this works by &#8220;interacting with virtual particles&#8221; means precisely as much as saying that it works by interacting with invisible blue fairies. &#8220;Virtual particles,&#8221; as the term has been used in physics for nearly a century, would definitely not produce an effect like this. If the authors mean anything by this claim at all, then they are using that term in a way that bears no relation to its usual meaning, but of course there&#8217;s no indication at all of what they do think it means. They should just just call them invisible blue fairies instead, to avoid confusion.<\/p>\n<p>Despite my complaints, Plait does sound an appropriate, if understated, note of skepticism. He also links to a <a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/117663015413546257905\/posts\/WfFtJ8bYVya\">couple<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/117663015413546257905\/posts\/C7vx2G85kr4\">posts<\/a> by my old friend John Baez, which treat the subject with an appropriate level of scorn. No euphemisms like &#8220;highly speculative&#8221; for him:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00a0&#8220;Quantum vacuum virtual plasma&#8221; is something you&#8217;d say if you failed a course in quantum field theory and then smoked too much weed.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Despite being a mathematician, Baez digs deeper than most people into the experimental details, pointing out one astonishing fact that I haven&#8217;t seen mentioned elsewhere: the article describes in detail the workings of the vacuum chamber in which the experiment was performed, but the actual experiment was done &#8220;at ambient atmospheric pressure&#8221; (i.e., not in a vacuum). This is important because one obvious possible source of error is the production of air currents surrounding the device.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You may have heard about these NASA engineers who claim to have demonstrated a reactionless drive mechanism &#8212; that is, something that can generate thrust without shooting anything out the back end. Such a device would violate one of the most well-established laws of physics, namely conservation of momentum. It would be an incredibly big &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/2014\/08\/04\/its-not-rocket-science\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">It&#8217;s not rocket science<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/900","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=900"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/900\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=900"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=900"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/physicsbunn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=900"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}