{"id":9053,"date":"2021-02-22T05:00:02","date_gmt":"2021-02-22T10:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jolt.richmond.edu\/?p=9053"},"modified":"2021-02-14T18:23:16","modified_gmt":"2021-02-14T23:23:16","slug":"social-media-and-the-game-stop-short-squeeze-of-2020-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/2021\/02\/22\/social-media-and-the-game-stop-short-squeeze-of-2020-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"Social Media and the Game-Stop Short Squeeze of 2020-2021"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0Ian McDowell<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>GamesStop (ticker: GME) is a video game retailer that, prior to the events described in this blog, had mostly been written off by professional investors due to a largely outdated business model.\u00a0 This negative outlook led a substantial number of professional investors to \u201cshort\u201d the stock, benefitting as the price of GameStop declined (while conversely, losing money if the price goes up, highly risky given that the maximum price of a stock is hypothetically infinite). <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> \u00a0The mechanics of a short-sell are simple- the investor hoping to profit on a stock\u2019s decline borrows that stock (for example, from their broker), sells it on the open market, and then buys it back at a lower price (thus making a gain) before returning it to the lender at the lower price. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>\u00a0 If the price goes up, that investor faces losses and may get \u201cmargin called\u201d by their broker, which requires them to deposit funds to cover potential losses on the short. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a> A \u201cshort squeeze\u201d refers to a situation where investors act to raise the price of a stock through purchases, which may force those short in the stock to purchase it themselves to cover the losses from their short position, which raises the price even more. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\">[4]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Over January 2020 alone, GameStop appreciated by over 1500% due to investors (or uninformed speculators, depending on one\u2019s view) driving up demand to \u201cshort-squeeze\u201d the hedge funds that were shorting the stock. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn5\" name=\"_ftnref5\">[5]<\/a>\u00a0 As of this writing, the price of GameStop has declined significantly from its peak valuation, signaling that the short-squeeze is over. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn6\" name=\"_ftnref6\">[6]<\/a> The GameStop short-squeeze of 2020-2021 is notable because it signaled the emergence of retail investors as a powerful market force, and highlights the increasing importance of discussions on social media platforms in accounting for why a security might move in a certain way.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It must be emphasized that the retail traders that decided to buy the stock (or call options- a right to purchase a stock at a higher price in the future) to influence the price were not doing so because of typical revelations that could influence a stock to appreciate in value, such as positive changes in the company\u2019s financial data, a new management strategy, the acquisition of the company, lower interest rates, and so on.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Given that many individuals participated in this coordinated strategy, there is not one single motivation for picking GameStop (out of thousands of tradable securities) as the primary stock to target.\u00a0 For some, driving GME up was a way to exact revenge on hedge funds for the 2008-2009 economic crisis, despite the fact that the funds that were notably short on GME simply did not engage in the activity that caused the collapse of the housing market and the subsequent broader recession in 2008. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn7\" name=\"_ftnref7\">[7]<\/a>\u00a0 Even if certain Reddit posters were incorrect in their assessment of recent financial history, these posts nevertheless indicate that a long-standing resentment of Wall Street in an era of great uncertainty and wealth inequality was a significant motivating factor for many to take the risk of buying GME stock and potentially cause financial pain to hedge funds. \u00a0In response to the short squeeze, SkyBridge Capital managing partner (and former White House Communications Director) Anthony Scaramucci commented that observers were witnessing the \u201cFrench Revolution of Finance.\u201d <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn8\" name=\"_ftnref8\">[8]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Other traders of course may have simply wanted to collect on the gains, and might have never had any particular ideological motivation behind buying the stock.\u00a0 In addition, prominent figures such as Elon Musk and Chamath Palihapitiya tweeted favorably about the GME surge, which certainly influenced the price to trend upwards. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn9\" name=\"_ftnref9\">[9]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>While the media has portrayed retail traders as being responsible for the GME short squeeze, it has emerged that many institutional investors have recently purchased the stock, and retail traders did not solely influence the price movements. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn10\" name=\"_ftnref10\">[10]<\/a> It is clear that many of the individuals that were speculating on GameStop\u2019s price were not sophisticated investors, as evidenced by large purchases of another stock under the ticker GME at the same time that the short squeeze was taking place. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn11\" name=\"_ftnref11\">[11]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If legal, there is a certain appeal to disregarding more traditional investing strategies in favor of collectively banding together with others over social media to influence the price of a stock (despite any concerns over the company\u2019s health).\u00a0 Specifically, the price will (in the ideal scenario) appreciate with near-immediate effect solely because the investors have banded together to cause a rise (whereas, with other stocks without any coordination it might take years to see a stock appreciate), regardless of any other factor.\u00a0 The risk to the social-media coordination strategy is <em>precisely<\/em> that it ignores the fundamentals of the stock, and that after large numbers of the traders that caused the price of to go up sell to realize their gains, the stock price will inevitably go down as demand decreases, leading to the price reflecting a more reasonable interpretation of the publicly available data of the company.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Given the serious price fluctuations with GameStop and the public spectacle of a perceived contest between retail traders and professional investors, it was only natural that there would be a subsequent federal investigation.\u00a0 The Justice Department\u2019s fraud section, the San Francisco U.S. Attorney\u2019s Office, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and the Securities and Exchange Commission are all currently investigating potential illegal activity in relation to trading around GameStop. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn12\" name=\"_ftnref12\">[12]<\/a> Daniel Hawke, a former chief of the SEC\u2019s market abuse unit and a partner at Arnold &amp; Porter Kaye Scholer LLP noted that users of a social-media platform \u201cegging each other on, [. . .] effectively constituted a crowdsourced pump-and-dump scheme\u201d and that the traders on social media were \u201cmaking no effort to conceal their apparent intent to manipulate the price of the stock.\u201d\u00a0 <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn13\" name=\"_ftnref13\">[13]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The GameStop Short Squeeze raises broad questions of the appropriate role of forums and social media platforms with regard to trading of other securities. \u00a0Public figures such as Elizabeth Warren have harshly criticized the SEC for having a woefully inadequate response to potential GameStop and potential market manipulation, which could lead to increased enforcement of existing policy in the future, if not new regulations. <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn14\" name=\"_ftnref14\">[14]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In addition to a potential federal response, the President of the NASDAQ stock exchange has indicated that the organization has technology that monitors and evaluates market-oriented discussions on social media, and that NASDAQ would potentially halt trading of any stock if there was unusual trading activity that matched social media conversations.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftn15\" name=\"_ftnref15\">[15]<\/a> \u00a0Further, it is plausible that social media companies may seek to limit discussions regarding financial markets to protect against any civil or criminal legal liability.\u00a0 To conclude, while the extent to which forums such as Reddit will be able to influence securities pricing in the future is uncertain, it is plausible that a regulatory response can be expected to curb the risk of market manipulation vis-a-vis forums or social media platforms.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> Alex Fitzpatrick, <em>So, Uh, What\u2019s Up With GameStop\u2019s Stock?<\/em>, TIME (Jan. 26, 2021), https:\/\/time.com\/5933242\/gamestop-stock-gme\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> Chad Langager, <em>What are the Minimum Margin Requirements for a Short Sale Account<\/em>, Investopedia (updated Jan. 7, 2021), https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/ask\/answers\/05\/shortmarginrequirements.asp.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a> Justin Kuepper, <em>Margin Call<\/em>, Investopedia (Updated Jan. 28, 2021), https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/m\/margincall.asp.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref4\" name=\"_ftn4\">[4]<\/a> Cory Mitchell, <em>Short Squeeze<\/em>, Investopedia (Updated Jan. 28, 2021), https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/s\/shortsqueeze.asp.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref5\" name=\"_ftn5\">[5]<\/a> Yun Li, <em>GameStop, Reddit, and Robinhood: A Full Recap of the Historic Retail Trading Mania on Wall Street<\/em>, CNBC (Jan. 30, 2021), https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2021\/01\/30\/gamestop-reddit-and-robinhood-a-full-recap-of-the-historic-retail-trading-mania-on-wall-street.html?&amp;qsearchterm=GameStop<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref6\" name=\"_ftn6\">[6]<\/a> Caitlin Ostroff, Peter Santilli, <em>The Rise and Fall of the GameStop Frenzy<\/em>, Wall Street Journal (Feb. 11, 2021), https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-gamestop-frenzy-11613083164.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref7\" name=\"_ftn7\">[7]<\/a> <em>See <\/em>Rick Newman, <em>What the GameStop vigilantes get Wrong About the 2008 Financial Crash<\/em>, Yahoo! (Feb. 1, 2021), https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/now\/what-the-gamestop-vigilantes-get-wrong-about-the-2008-financial-crash-201225688.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAJ5yqGflZktchbEej_LAShPPsFmNWQdKSf-3QL2fJRn4uqX2EfiVX5wPYRpXXobkF6tden5uoshR_z4Zf2PThAQUlPFdAMZKbOWylAZbf_rTBJweycXCKBYEUxFHEqgk5SsEcnzLgl-pq2raPzamEdMCMmEeKGFv4zjrr8buEacs.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref8\" name=\"_ftn8\">[8]<\/a> Nicole Casperson, <em>How Social Media Fueled the GameStop Stock Surge<\/em>, Investment News (Jan. 27, 2021), https:\/\/www.investmentnews.com\/how-social-media-fueled-the-gamestop-stock-surge-202018.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref9\" name=\"_ftn9\">[9]<\/a> <em>Id.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref10\" name=\"_ftn10\">[10]<\/a> <em>See <\/em>Maggie Fitzgerald, <em>GameStop mania may not have been the retail trader rebellion it was perceived to be, data shows<\/em>, CNBC (Feb. 5, 2021), https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2021\/02\/05\/gamestop-mania-may-not-have-been-the-retail-trader-rebellion-it-was-perceived-to-be-data-shows.html.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref11\" name=\"_ftn11\">[11]<\/a> <em>See<\/em> Justin Harper, <em>GameStop: Share Buying Mistakes \u2018on the rise\u2019<\/em>, BBC News (Feb. 11, 2021), https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/business-56020950 (discussing a spike in an Australian mining company that also trades under the ticker GME, as well as other recent instances of clear trader error, such as the recent 1500% spike in Signal Advance stock (SIGL) after Elon Musk tweeted favorably about an (unrelated) messaging app called Signal).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref12\" name=\"_ftn12\">[12]<\/a> Dave Michaels, <em>GameStop Mania is Focus of Federal Probes Into Possible Manipulation<\/em>, The Wall Street Journal (Feb. 11, 2021), https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/gamestop-mania-is-focus-of-federal-probes-into-possible-manipulation-11613066950.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref13\" name=\"_ftn13\">[13]<\/a> Dave Michaels, Alexander Osipovich, <em>GameStop Stock Surge Tests Scope of SEC\u2019s Manipulation Rules<\/em>, The Wall Street Journal (Jan. 28, 2021), https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/gamestop-surge-tests-scope-of-secs-manipulation-rules-11611838175.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref14\" name=\"_ftn14\">[14]<\/a> Thomas Franck, <em>\u2018You\u2019ve got to Have a cop on the Beat\u2019: Elizabeth Warren Slams SEC Over GameStop Chaos<\/em>, CNBC (Jan. 28, 2021), https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2021\/01\/28\/elizabeth-warren-gamestop-robinhood-market-manipulation.html.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/EBAA5106-6339-496D-B2D3-FE7E414C556B#_ftnref15\" name=\"_ftn15\">[15]<\/a> Jason Rechel, <em>How Social Media Moves Markets: Analyzing GameStop (GME) Using Social Listening Data<\/em>, Sprout Social (Jan. 28, 2021), https:\/\/sproutsocial.com\/insights\/gamestop-stock-social-media\/.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-9054\" src=\"https:\/\/jolt.richmond.edu\/files\/2021\/02\/esti-tsw8aa10tk-1611869590-300x166.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"166\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/files\/2021\/02\/esti-tsw8aa10tk-1611869590-300x166.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/files\/2021\/02\/esti-tsw8aa10tk-1611869590-480x266.jpg 480w, https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/files\/2021\/02\/esti-tsw8aa10tk-1611869590.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Image Source:\u00a0https:\/\/menshumor.com\/viral\/the-best-jokes-about-whats-happening-right-now-with-gamestop-stock\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0Ian McDowell &nbsp; GamesStop (ticker: GME) is a video game retailer that, prior to the events described in this blog, had mostly been written off by professional investors due to a largely outdated business model.\u00a0 This negative outlook led a substantial number of professional investors to \u201cshort\u201d the stock, benefitting as the price of GameStop [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4744,"featured_media":9054,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[51366],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog-post"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/files\/2021\/02\/esti-tsw8aa10tk-1611869590.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paMHOZ-2m1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4744"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9053"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9055,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9053\/revisions\/9055"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.richmond.edu\/jolt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}